New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-01-17 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 6 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 61.3%

NYR: 38.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.86

NYR: 3.63

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • PHI at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	0	0.41
1	NYR	15	1	1.29
2	PHI	9	0	0.63
2	NYR	21	0	1.99
3	PHI	24	1	1.85
3	NYR	12	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.9 - 3.6