New York Islanders at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-01-17 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CGY: 53.4%

NYI: 46.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.23

NYI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NYI 3 - 2 CGY	NYI	NYI
2026-01-17	CGY 4 - 2 NYI	CGY	CGY
2025-03-22	NYI 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NYI
2024-11-19	CGY 2 - 1 NYI	CGY	NYI
2024-02-10	NYI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	9	0	0.46
1	NYI	22	1	1.73
2	CGY	17	0	0.89
2	NYI	17	0	1.07
3	CGY	11	3	1.68
3	NYI	20	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0