Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-01-17 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 41.5%

CAR: 58.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.79

CAR: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 54%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Stat	NJD	CAR
Season SV%	0.884	0.865
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.32	3.38

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	35	31	4	88.6%	3.92	4	-0.08
CAR	Frederik Andersen	30	29	1	96.7%	2.94	1	1.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • NJD at home vs CAR: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	1.33
1	CAR	9	2	0.76
2	NJD	13	0	0.82
2	CAR	21	0	1.24
3	NJD	14	0	0.79
3	CAR	22	2	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown