Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-01-17 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 54.0%
CBJ: 46.0%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.04
CBJ: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | PIT | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.888 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.818 | 0.866 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | PIT 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | PIT |
| 2026-01-04 | CBJ 4 - 5 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-28 | CBJ 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-25 | PIT 4 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | PIT |
| 2025-03-21 | PIT 6 - 3 CBJ | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:42 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 09:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:52 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 07:32 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:38 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 18:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PIT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PIT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
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