Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-01-17 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 53.3%

CBJ: 46.7%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.39

CBJ: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	19	1	1.32
1	CBJ	7	1	0.53
2	PIT	10	0	0.91
2	CBJ	20	0	1.35
3	PIT	18	1	1.37
3	CBJ	9	1	0.68
4	PIT	8	1	1.16
4	CBJ	3	0	0.34
5	PIT	3	1	0.98
5	CBJ	4	2	2.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2