Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-01-17 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

VGK: 73.1%

NSH: 26.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.08

NSH: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	18	0	1.40
1	NSH	13	1	0.77
2	VGK	15	0	0.82
2	NSH	18	0	1.11
3	VGK	13	0	1.36
3	NSH	13	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 4.1 - 2.7