Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-01-17 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 46.9%

LAK: 53.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.23

LAK: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	ANA	LAK
Season SV%	0.884	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.25	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Ville Husso	18	17	1	94.4%	2.10	0	1.10
LAK	Anton Forsberg	33	31	2	93.9%	3.45	3	1.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • ANA at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	ANA 2 - 1 LAK	ANA	LAK
2026-01-16	LAK 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	LAK
2025-12-27	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK
2025-11-28	ANA 5 - 4 LAK	ANA	LAK
2025-04-10	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	1.11
1	LAK	7	0	0.36
2	ANA	11	1	0.91
2	LAK	18	0	1.26
3	ANA	17	0	0.57
3	LAK	11	0	0.44
4	ANA	6	2	0.85
4	LAK	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0