Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-01-18 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

DET: 62.8%

OTT: 37.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.76

OTT: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs OTT: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DET 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	DET
2026-02-26	OTT 1 - 2 DET	DET	OTT
2026-01-18	DET 4 - 3 OTT	DET	DET
2026-01-05	OTT 3 - 5 DET	DET	OTT
2025-03-27	DET 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	18	1	0.94
1	OTT	18	1	1.40
2	DET	24	2	2.09
2	OTT	11	1	0.89
3	DET	13	0	0.84
3	OTT	8	0	0.47
4	DET	1	0	0.10
4	OTT	1	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.8 - 3.3