St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-18 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 0 St. Louis Blues

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 61.9%

STL: 38.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.40

STL: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Connor Ingram - 2-2-0 | 0.883 SV% | 3.28 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Stat	EDM	STL
Season SV%	0.883	0.869
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.28	3.56

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Connor Ingram	27	27	0	100.0%	2.91	1	2.91
STL	Jordan Binnington	28	23	5	82.1%	2.95	2	-2.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs STL: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	1	1.26
1	STL	14	0	0.95
2	EDM	11	0	0.84
2	STL	16	1	1.30
3	EDM	12	1	0.85
3	STL	14	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown