Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-01-19 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 68.9%
BUF: 31.1%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.16
BUF: 2.04
Total Goals
Median: 3.4
Over 5.5: 24%
Over 6.5: 13%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | CAR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.944 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs BUF: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CAR 2 - 1 BUF | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-23 | BUF 4 - 1 CAR | BUF | CAR |
| 2025-11-08 | CAR 6 - 3 BUF | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-08 | BUF 3 - 0 CAR | BUF | CAR |
| 2025-02-27 | CAR 5 - 2 BUF | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 07:04 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:10 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.2 - 2.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.