Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CAR: 71.8%

BUF: 28.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.72

BUF: 2.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CAR at home vs BUF: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	CAR 2 - 1 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-11-23	BUF 4 - 1 CAR	BUF	BUF
2025-11-08	CAR 6 - 3 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-04-08	BUF 3 - 0 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-02-27	CAR 5 - 2 BUF	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	1.67
1	BUF	8	0	0.65
2	CAR	11	1	0.73
2	BUF	11	1	1.07
3	CAR	12	1	1.17
3	BUF	11	0	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.7 - 2.2