Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-01-19 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 72.4%
WSH: 27.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.34
WSH: 2.30
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 32%
Over 6.5: 22%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | COL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | WSH 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-01-19 | COL 5 - 2 WSH | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-21 | WSH 1 - 2 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-15 | COL 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | COL |
| 2024-02-13 | WSH 3 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:54 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:27 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:03 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:58 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:15 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:32 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:30 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 72.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.3 - 2.3
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