Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

COL: 74.2%

WSH: 25.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.20

WSH: 2.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	WSH 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-19	COL 5 - 2 WSH	COL	COL
2024-11-21	WSH 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-11-15	COL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	COL
2024-02-13	WSH 3 - 6 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	18	0	0.89
1	WSH	21	0	1.19
2	COL	29	1	1.94
2	WSH	12	0	0.97
3	COL	23	2	1.98
3	WSH	11	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.2 - 2.1