Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

SEA: 45.5%

PIT: 54.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.96

PIT: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • SEA at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	PIT
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	10	1	0.81
1	PIT	11	0	0.70
2	SEA	12	2	1.33
2	PIT	25	1	1.39
3	SEA	16	0	0.99
3	PIT	13	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1