Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 48.0%

PIT: 52.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.88

PIT: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 12-11-4 | 0.888 SV% | 2.91 GAA

Stat	SEA	PIT
Season SV%	0.903	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.91

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	32	26	6	81.2%	3.29	2	-2.71
PIT	Stuart Skinner	23	20	3	87.0%	3.13	3	0.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	SEA
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	PIT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	10	1	0.81
1	PIT	11	0	0.70
2	SEA	12	2	1.33
2	PIT	25	1	1.39
3	SEA	16	0	0.99
3	PIT	13	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown