Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2026-01-19 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 57.0%
PIT: 43.0%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.05
PIT: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | SEA | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.839 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | SEA 3 - 6 PIT | PIT | SEA |
| 2025-11-22 | PIT 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | PIT |
| 2025-01-25 | SEA 4 - 1 PIT | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-14 | PIT 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | PIT |
| 2024-02-29 | SEA 2 - 0 PIT | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:44 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 07:50 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 16:12 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:55 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:45 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 02:21 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 07:47 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 16:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:30 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0