San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 55.8%

SJS: 44.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.28

SJS: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	FLA 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	FLA
2025-11-08	SJS 3 - 1 FLA	SJS	FLA
2025-01-25	SJS 2 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-07	FLA 3 - 1 SJS	FLA	FLA
2023-11-14	SJS 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	1	0.83
1	SJS	12	1	0.65
2	FLA	13	0	0.69
2	SJS	15	4	2.00
3	FLA	20	0	1.26
3	SJS	12	3	2.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7