Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-01-19 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 6 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 44.3%
MIN: 55.7%
Expected Goals
TOR: 2.98
MIN: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | TOR | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.828 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | MIN 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | MIN |
| 2026-01-19 | TOR 3 - 6 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-29 | TOR 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | TOR |
| 2024-11-03 | MIN 2 - 1 TOR | MIN | MIN |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:45 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 10:29 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 18:24 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 06:53 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:24 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:14 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:27 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 15:02 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:22 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 6 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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