New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CGY: 54.0%

NJD: 46.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.22

NJD: 2.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	CGY	NJD
Season SV%	0.914	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Devin Cooley	32	30	2	93.8%	2.23	1	0.23
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	22	21	1	95.5%	1.65	0	0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • CGY at home vs NJD: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	NJD 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2026-01-19	CGY 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	CGY
2025-03-20	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2024-11-01	CGY 3 - 0 NJD	CGY	NJD
2024-02-08	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	6	0	0.23
1	NJD	10	0	0.58
2	CGY	13	0	0.47
2	NJD	18	0	0.98
3	CGY	14	0	0.96
3	NJD	10	0	0.30
4	CGY	0	0	0.00
4	NJD	2	1	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 2.3