New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-01-19 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 60.3%
NJD: 39.7%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.13
NJD: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | CGY | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • CGY at home vs NJD: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CGY 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | CGY |
| 2025-03-20 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-11-01 | CGY 3 - 0 NJD | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-02-08 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2023-12-09 | CGY 2 - 4 NJD | NJD | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 07:51 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 09:44 | CGY | Goal |
| 4 | 01:18 | NJD | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0