New York Islanders at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2026-01-19 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 58.6%
NYI: 41.4%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.38
NYI: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | VAN | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | 0.903 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • VAN at home vs NYI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | VAN 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | VAN |
| 2025-12-19 | NYI 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | NYI |
| 2025-03-26 | NYI 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | NYI |
| 2024-11-14 | VAN 2 - 5 NYI | NYI | VAN |
| 2024-01-09 | NYI 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:48 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 10:11 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 02:49 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 15:58 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:34 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:09 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:15 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1