New York Islanders at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

VAN: 49.0%

NYI: 51.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.91

NYI: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs NYI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-12-19	NYI 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	NYI
2025-03-26	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI
2024-11-14	VAN 2 - 5 NYI	NYI	VAN
2024-01-09	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	18	1	1.66
1	NYI	17	0	0.96
2	VAN	15	2	1.49
2	NYI	19	1	1.84
3	VAN	11	0	0.71
3	NYI	12	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3