New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 3 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 59.5%

NYR: 40.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.85

NYR: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

NYR

S. Martin

Stat	ANA	NYR
Season SV%	0.888	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	22	19	3	86.4%	2.80	1	-0.20
NYR	S. Martin	26	21	5	80.8%	4.30	5	-0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • ANA at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	ANA 5 - 3 NYR	ANA	ANA
2025-12-15	NYR 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-28	ANA 5 - 4 NYR	ANA	NYR
2024-10-26	NYR 2 - 1 ANA	NYR	NYR
2024-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	8	0	0.37
1	NYR	10	1	1.08
2	ANA	20	2	1.82
2	NYR	15	0	0.66
3	ANA	12	3	2.11
3	NYR	14	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown