Minnesota Wild at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-01-20 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

MTL: 62.0%

MIN: 38.0%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.24

MIN: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN
2026-01-20	MTL 4 - 3 MIN	MTL	MTL
2025-01-30	MTL 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	MTL
2024-11-14	MIN 3 - 0 MTL	MIN	MIN
2023-12-21	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	24	2	1.77
1	MIN	8	1	0.81
2	MTL	10	0	0.40
2	MIN	14	0	0.48
3	MTL	16	0	0.48
3	MIN	12	2	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0