Minnesota Wild at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-01-20 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 61.3%
MIN: 38.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.29
MIN: 2.60
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | MTL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.841 | 0.850 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • MTL at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | MIN 4 - 3 MTL | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-01-20 | MTL 4 - 3 MIN | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-01-30 | MTL 0 - 4 MIN | MIN | MTL |
| 2024-11-14 | MIN 3 - 0 MTL | MIN | MIN |
| 2023-12-21 | MIN 4 - 3 MTL | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:44 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 15:22 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:08 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:16 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:35 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:40 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:45 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.