Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-01-20 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 4 Ottawa Senators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 44.7%

OTT: 55.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.16

OTT: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

OTT

J. Reimer

Stat	CBJ	OTT
Season SV%	0.877	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.04	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	21	17	4	81.0%	3.26	3	-0.74
OTT	J. Reimer	22	21	1	95.5%	2.45	2	1.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CBJ at home vs OTT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	CBJ 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-29	OTT 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	OTT
2025-12-11	CBJ 3 - 6 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-04-08	CBJ 5 - 2 OTT	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-06	OTT 4 - 0 CBJ	OTT	OTT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	7	1	0.56
1	OTT	16	1	1.25
2	CBJ	14	1	1.32
2	OTT	11	0	0.43
3	CBJ	13	0	0.57
3	OTT	9	2	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown