Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-01-20 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 6 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

DAL: 54.4%

BOS: 45.6%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.67

BOS: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BOS 6 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL
2026-01-20	DAL 6 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-11-14	DAL 7 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-10-24	BOS 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-19	BOS 4 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	23	2	1.85
1	BOS	9	0	0.67
2	DAL	19	1	0.98
2	BOS	10	1	0.52
3	DAL	9	0	0.59
3	BOS	11	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 6 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8