Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-01-20 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 6 - 2 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 50.0%
BOS: 50.0%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.14
BOS: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | DAL | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.850 | 0.824 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs BOS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | BOS 6 - 3 DAL | BOS | DAL |
| 2026-01-20 | DAL 6 - 2 BOS | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-11-14 | DAL 7 - 2 BOS | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-10-24 | BOS 2 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-02-19 | BOS 4 - 3 DAL | BOS | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:08 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:47 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:26 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:29 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:15 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:37 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:11 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:39 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 6 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.