Buffalo Sabres at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2026-01-20 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 60.2%
BUF: 39.8%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.26
BUF: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs BUF: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | BUF 3 - 2 NSH | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-01-20 | NSH 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | NSH |
| 2025-02-08 | NSH 6 - 4 BUF | NSH | BUF |
| 2025-01-31 | BUF 4 - 3 NSH | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-03-07 | NSH 4 - 2 BUF | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 1 | BUF | 15 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 2 | NSH | 24 | 1 | 1.54 |
| 2 | BUF | 12 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 3 | NSH | 27 | 0 | 1.34 |
| 3 | BUF | 12 | 1 | 0.90 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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