Buffalo Sabres at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2026-01-20 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 57.3%
BUF: 42.7%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.02
BUF: 3.34
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | NSH | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.789 | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs BUF: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | NSH 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | NSH |
| 2025-02-08 | NSH 6 - 4 BUF | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-31 | BUF 4 - 3 NSH | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-03-07 | NSH 4 - 2 BUF | NSH | NSH |
| 2023-12-03 | BUF 1 - 2 NSH | NSH | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:11 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:45 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 17:24 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 04:20 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 10:09 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:54 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 09:30 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 18:14 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3