St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-20 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 46.5%

STL: 53.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.07

STL: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	WPG	STL
Season SV%	0.880	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.49	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	23	22	1	95.7%	2.23	0	1.23
STL	Joel Hofer	16	13	3	81.2%	2.45	1	-0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs STL: 12-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	9	0	0.56
1	STL	14	0	0.65
2	WPG	17	0	0.95
2	STL	18	0	1.01
3	WPG	8	1	0.94
3	STL	13	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown