St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-20 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 41.7%

STL: 58.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.18

STL: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs STL: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	9	0	0.56
1	STL	14	0	0.65
2	WPG	17	0	0.95
2	STL	18	0	1.01
3	WPG	8	1	0.94
3	STL	13	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0