New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2026-01-20 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 71.3%
NJD: 28.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.41
NJD: 2.64
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | EDM | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs NJD: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | EDM 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | EDM |
| 2025-10-18 | NJD 5 - 3 EDM | NJD | EDM |
| 2025-03-13 | NJD 3 - 2 EDM | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-11-04 | EDM 0 - 3 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2023-12-21 | NJD 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 05:23 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 07:02 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 08:32 | NJD | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 71.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6
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