New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-01-20 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 3 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 69.2%

NYR: 30.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.84

NYR: 2.38

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Stat	LAK	NYR
Season SV%	0.913	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.11

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	36	33	3	91.7%	2.92	1	-0.08
NYR	Jonathan Quick	27	23	4	85.2%	3.98	3	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • LAK at home vs NYR: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	NYR 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-01-20	LAK 4 - 3 NYR	LAK	LAK
2025-03-25	LAK 3 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK
2024-12-14	NYR 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-01-20	LAK 2 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	18	0	1.21
1	NYR	12	0	0.54
2	LAK	16	1	1.17
2	NYR	18	1	1.61
3	LAK	14	2	1.60
3	NYR	19	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown