Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-01-21 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 60.7%

ANA: 39.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.56

ANA: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • COL at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	ANA
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	16	0	0.96
1	ANA	9	1	0.56
2	COL	15	2	1.68
2	ANA	12	0	0.55
3	COL	23	3	1.86
3	ANA	5	0	0.18
4	COL	4	0	0.45
4	ANA	4	0	0.44
5	COL	2	0	0.10
5	ANA	3	2	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6