Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-01-21 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 67.1%
ANA: 32.9%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.73
ANA: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 8.2
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 70%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | COL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.963 | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • COL at home vs ANA: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | ANA 1 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-01-21 | COL 1 - 2 ANA | ANA | COL |
| 2025-11-11 | COL 4 - 1 ANA | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-13 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-20 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:27 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:21 | COL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | COL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 67.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.7 - 3.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.