Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-01-21 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

UTA: 57.2%

PHI: 42.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.24

PHI: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs PHI: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	PHI 0 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-21	UTA 5 - 4 PHI	UTA	UTA
2025-02-04	UTA 3 - 2 PHI	UTA	UTA
2024-12-08	PHI 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	10	0	0.36
1	PHI	23	3	2.44
2	UTA	24	1	1.45
2	PHI	16	1	1.20
3	UTA	15	0	0.78
3	PHI	8	0	0.57
4	UTA	2	0	0.29
4	PHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1