Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2026-01-21 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 59.2%
PHI: 40.8%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.16
PHI: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | UTA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs PHI: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | PHI 0 - 3 UTA | UTA | PHI |
| 2026-01-21 | UTA 5 - 4 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-02-04 | UTA 3 - 2 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-08 | PHI 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:30 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:36 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:58 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:35 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:11 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:28 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 12:47 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:25 | UTA | Goal |
| 4 | 02:01 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
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