Washington Capitals at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-01-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

VAN: 50.9%

WSH: 49.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.02

WSH: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	VAN 4 - 3 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-10-19	WSH 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	WSH
2025-01-25	VAN 2 - 1 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-01-08	WSH 2 - 1 VAN	WSH	WSH
2024-03-16	VAN 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	0	0.86
1	WSH	18	3	2.02
2	VAN	17	0	0.83
2	WSH	17	0	0.81
3	VAN	7	1	1.03
3	WSH	18	1	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2