New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2026-01-21 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 52.4%
NYI: 47.6%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.34
NYI: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | SEA | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs NYI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | SEA 4 - 1 NYI | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-23 | NYI 1 - 0 SEA | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-05 | NYI 2 - 5 SEA | SEA | NYI |
| 2024-11-16 | SEA 3 - 2 NYI | SEA | NYI |
| 2024-02-13 | NYI 1 - 2 SEA | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:38 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 10:40 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:37 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:28 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:32 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0
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