New York Islanders at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-21 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 44.8%

NYI: 55.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.13

NYI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SEA at home vs NYI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	20	1	1.41
1	NYI	13	0	0.97
2	SEA	18	0	1.26
2	NYI	22	2	1.60
3	SEA	5	2	1.64
3	NYI	7	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9