Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-22 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

BOS: 51.2%

VGK: 48.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.23

VGK: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • BOS at home vs VGK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	BOS 4 - 3 VGK	BOS	BOS
2025-10-16	VGK 6 - 5 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-03-20	VGK 5 - 1 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-02-08	BOS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2024-02-29	BOS 5 - 4 VGK	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	21	2	1.32
1	VGK	7	1	0.70
2	BOS	12	0	0.92
2	VGK	12	2	1.16
3	BOS	9	0	0.34
3	VGK	27	4	3.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1