Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-01-22 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 54.9%

BUF: 45.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.30

BUF: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • MTL at home vs BUF: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-18	BUF 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	BUF
2026-05-16	MTL 3 - 8 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-05-14	BUF 3 - 6 MTL	MTL	BUF
2026-05-12	MTL 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-05-10	MTL 6 - 2 BUF	MTL	BUF

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6