Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-01-22 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 72.6%
CHI: 27.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.03
CHI: 2.10
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | CAR | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.811 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CAR at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | CHI 2 - 7 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-22 | CAR 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | CAR |
| 2025-01-30 | CAR 3 - 2 CHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-20 | CHI 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-04-14 | CHI 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:12 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 12:50 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:35 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:16 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:38 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:20 | CAR | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CAR | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CAR | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 72.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 4.0 - 2.1
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