Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-01-22 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (75% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 75.3%

CHI: 24.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.45

CHI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CAR at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-20	CHI 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-04-14	CHI 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	1	1.25
1	CHI	6	1	0.69
2	CAR	20	1	1.45
2	CHI	9	1	0.41
3	CAR	13	1	1.01
3	CHI	14	0	1.03
4	CAR	1	1	0.22
4	CHI	3	1	0.42
5	CAR	6	1	1.42
5	CHI	6	2	2.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0