Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-01-22 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 49.2%

OTT: 50.8%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.73

OTT: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	OTT
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT
2024-02-27	NSH 4 - 1 OTT	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	9	1	0.68
1	OTT	15	2	1.61
2	NSH	19	1	1.24
2	OTT	17	1	1.08
3	NSH	15	3	1.97
3	OTT	7	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2