Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2026-01-22 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 42.6%
OTT: 57.4%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.00
OTT: 3.22
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | NSH | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | NSH 5 - 3 OTT | NSH | OTT |
| 2025-10-13 | OTT 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | OTT |
| 2025-02-03 | NSH 2 - 5 OTT | OTT | NSH |
| 2024-12-07 | OTT 3 - 1 NSH | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-02-27 | NSH 4 - 1 OTT | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:03 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 14:19 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 10:46 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:34 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:19 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 10:07 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:47 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:33 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 5 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
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