Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-22 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 2 Florida Panthers (SO)

Win Probability

WPG: 43.1%

FLA: 56.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.64

FLA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs FLA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	WPG
2024-11-16	FLA 5 - 0 WPG	FLA	FLA
2023-11-24	FLA 0 - 3 WPG	WPG	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	8	0	0.66
1	FLA	15	0	0.72
2	WPG	11	0	0.37
2	FLA	8	0	0.25
3	WPG	11	0	0.60
3	FLA	10	0	0.41
4	WPG	3	0	0.34
4	FLA	4	0	0.33
5	WPG	2	0	0.13
5	FLA	2	2	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3