St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-01-23 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 53.8%
STL: 46.2%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.42
STL: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | DAL | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.874 | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • DAL at home vs STL: 6-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | DAL 5 - 4 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-01-27 | STL 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-01-23 | DAL 3 - 2 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-18 | STL 3 - 1 DAL | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-02 | DAL 6 - 3 STL | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:41 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:30 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:04 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:44 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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