Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-01-23 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 7 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 71.5%
PHI: 28.5%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.68
PHI: 2.49
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | COL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • COL at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | COL 3 - 7 PHI | PHI | COL |
| 2025-12-07 | PHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | PHI |
| 2025-02-02 | COL 2 - 0 PHI | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-18 | PHI 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-01-20 | PHI 4 - 7 COL | COL | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 71.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 3 - 7 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.7 - 2.5
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