Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-01-23 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 7 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 69.2%

PHI: 30.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.72

PHI: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs PHI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	COL 3 - 7 PHI	PHI	COL
2025-12-07	PHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-02	COL 2 - 0 PHI	COL	COL
2024-11-18	PHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2024-01-20	PHI 4 - 7 COL	COL	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	21	3	1.71
1	PHI	11	0	0.82
2	COL	13	1	0.84
2	PHI	12	3	1.69
3	COL	16	0	0.65
3	PHI	9	1	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 7 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7