New Jersey Devils at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-01-23 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 45.7%

NJD: 54.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.12

NJD: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	VAN	NJD
Season SV%	0.885	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	24	19	5	79.2%	3.56	4	-1.44
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	25	21	4	84.0%	3.18	5	-0.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs NJD: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	VAN 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-14	NJD 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-24	NJD 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	NJD
2024-10-30	VAN 0 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-01-06	NJD 4 - 6 VAN	VAN	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	1	0.80
1	NJD	13	1	0.74
2	VAN	14	2	1.46
2	NJD	17	2	1.68
3	VAN	12	2	0.91
3	NJD	8	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown