New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-01-23 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 57.3%
NYR: 42.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.59
NYR: 3.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.750 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | SJS 3 - 1 NYR | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-23 | NYR 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | NYR |
| 2025-03-29 | SJS 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | SJS |
| 2024-11-14 | NYR 3 - 2 SJS | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-23 | SJS 3 - 2 NYR | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:50 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:37 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 03:08 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 01:09 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.6 - 3.8