New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-01-23 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 44.5%
NYR: 55.5%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.59
NYR: 3.91
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.750 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SJS at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | SJS 3 - 1 NYR | SJS | NYR |
| 2025-10-23 | NYR 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | NYR |
| 2025-03-29 | SJS 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | SJS |
| 2024-11-14 | NYR 3 - 2 SJS | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-23 | SJS 3 - 2 NYR | SJS | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:09 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 03:08 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:37 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 12:50 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.6 - 3.9
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