New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-01-23 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 New York Rangers

Win Probability

SJS: 59.7%

NYR: 40.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.17

NYR: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	25	2	2.27
1	NYR	20	1	1.55
2	SJS	12	1	0.93
2	NYR	14	1	1.07
3	SJS	13	0	0.67
3	NYR	13	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2