Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-23 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 51.4%

ANA: 48.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.19

ANA: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	SEA	ANA
Season SV%	0.920	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.32	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	31	27	4	87.1%	3.46	3	-0.54
ANA	Lukas Dostal	22	20	2	90.9%	1.98	0	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs ANA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	SEA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	ANA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	5	0	0.40
1	ANA	17	1	1.36
2	SEA	11	0	0.34
2	ANA	22	1	1.28
3	SEA	23	0	1.24
3	ANA	11	1	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown