Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-01-24 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

NYI: 49.0%

BUF: 51.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.27

BUF: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • NYI at home vs BUF: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BUF 4 - 3 NYI	BUF	BUF
2026-01-24	NYI 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-12-20	BUF 3 - 2 NYI	BUF	BUF
2024-12-23	NYI 1 - 7 BUF	BUF	NYI
2024-11-30	NYI 3 - 0 BUF	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	0	0.76
1	BUF	11	0	0.62
2	NYI	14	1	1.30
2	BUF	12	0	1.04
3	NYI	10	0	0.37
3	BUF	9	2	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1