Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-01-24 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 56.5%
CAR: 43.5%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.04
CAR: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | CAR | ||
| 2026-04-30 | CAR | ||
| 2026-04-27 | CAR | ||
| 2026-04-25 | OTT 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-04-23 | OTT 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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