Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-01-24 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

OTT: 46.6%

CAR: 53.4%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.01

CAR: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	17	0	0.85
1	CAR	11	0	0.79
2	OTT	9	0	0.69
2	CAR	13	1	0.98
3	OTT	21	1	1.46
3	CAR	5	1	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1