Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2026-01-24 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 42.9%
TBL: 57.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.60
TBL: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.888 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs TBL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | TBL 2 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | TBL |
| 2026-01-24 | CBJ 8 - 5 TBL | CBJ | TBL |
| 2025-10-18 | CBJ 3 - 2 TBL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-03-04 | TBL 6 - 2 CBJ | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-17 | TBL 5 - 3 CBJ | TBL | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:47 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 07:48 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 08:37 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 10:01 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 18:33 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 19:47 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 03:29 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 04:58 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 09:05 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 18:57 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 14:55 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 18:54 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 19:35 | CBJ | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 8 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 2.6 - 3.4
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