Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-01-24 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 8 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

CBJ: 59.4%

TBL: 40.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.87

TBL: 3.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CBJ at home vs TBL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	TBL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TBL
2026-01-24	CBJ 8 - 5 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-18	CBJ 3 - 2 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-04	TBL 6 - 2 CBJ	TBL	TBL
2024-12-17	TBL 5 - 3 CBJ	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	14	0	0.77
1	TBL	12	1	0.44
2	CBJ	17	0	1.29
2	TBL	14	0	0.62
3	CBJ	11	3	2.31
3	TBL	21	0	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 8 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5