Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-24 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 53.9%

DET: 46.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.09

DET: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs DET: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	WPG 1 - 5 DET	DET	WPG
2025-12-31	DET 2 - 1 WPG	DET	DET
2025-01-04	WPG 2 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2024-10-30	DET 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2023-12-20	WPG 5 - 2 DET	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	12	0	0.62
1	DET	18	1	1.06
2	WPG	16	0	1.06
2	DET	13	0	0.74
3	WPG	10	0	0.48
3	DET	11	1	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1