Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-01-24 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 32.6%

LAK: 67.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.39

LAK: 3.83

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	STL	LAK
Season SV%	0.901	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	31	25	6	80.6%	4.44	4	-1.56
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	33	28	5	84.8%	4.46	3	-0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • STL at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	0	0.67
1	LAK	11	0	0.49
2	STL	11	1	0.77
2	LAK	12	0	0.34
3	STL	14	1	1.47
3	LAK	17	2	1.53
4	STL	5	0	0.54
4	LAK	4	0	0.53
5	STL	4	1	1.01
5	LAK	4	2	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.4 - 3.8