Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2026-01-24 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Washington Capitals (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 63.9%
WSH: 36.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 4.09
WSH: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 61%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | EDM | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | EDM 6 - 5 WSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-19 | WSH 7 - 4 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-23 | WSH 7 - 3 EDM | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-21 | EDM 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | EDM |
| 2024-03-13 | EDM 7 - 2 WSH | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 19:34 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 04:13 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 06:50 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 14:29 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 04:30 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 06:40 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 08:24 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 15:09 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:28 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 00:47 | EDM | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 7.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Washington Capitals
Expected: 4.1 - 3.3