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Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-24 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Washington Capitals (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 66.2%
WSH: 33.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.39
WSH: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
StatEDMWSH
Season SV%0.9060.913
Last 5 SV%0.8370.912
SV% vs Opponent0.8670.867
GAA2.732.39
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs WSH: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-24EDM 6 - 5 WSHEDMEDM
2025-11-19WSH 7 - 4 EDMWSHWSH
2025-02-23WSH 7 - 3 EDMWSHEDM
2025-01-21EDM 2 - 3 WSHWSHWSH
2024-03-13EDM 7 - 2 WSHEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
119:12EDMGoal
119:34EDMGoal
204:13EDMGoal
206:50EDMGoal
214:29WSHGoal
304:30EDMGoal
306:40WSHGoal
308:24EDMGoal
315:09WSHGoal
319:28EDMGoal
400:47EDMGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9