Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-24 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Washington Capitals (OT)

Win Probability

EDM: 69.6%

WSH: 30.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.65

WSH: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	EDM 6 - 5 WSH	EDM	EDM
2025-11-19	WSH 7 - 4 EDM	WSH	WSH
2025-02-23	WSH 7 - 3 EDM	WSH	EDM
2025-01-21	EDM 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	EDM
2024-03-13	EDM 7 - 2 WSH	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	2	1.51
1	WSH	7	0	0.43
2	EDM	17	4	2.12
2	WSH	19	0	0.90
3	EDM	24	3	2.49
3	WSH	20	3	2.04
4	EDM	2	2	0.65
4	WSH	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0