Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-01-25 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

VAN: 47.5%

PIT: 52.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.99

PIT: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	VAN 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-10-21	PIT 5 - 1 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-11-27	PIT 5 - 4 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 PIT	VAN	VAN
2024-02-27	VAN 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	0	0.74
1	PIT	10	0	0.65
2	VAN	18	1	1.41
2	PIT	20	1	1.69
3	VAN	24	1	2.13
3	PIT	12	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3