Utah Hockey Club at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-01-26 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 0 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 61.5%
UTA: 38.5%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.69
UTA: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | TBL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.907 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • TBL at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | TBL 2 - 0 UTA | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-02 | UTA 2 - 4 TBL | TBL | UTA |
| 2025-03-27 | TBL 8 - 0 UTA | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-22 | UTA 6 - 4 TBL | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 17:38 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:14 | TBL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 0 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.7 - 2.9