Utah Hockey Club at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-01-26 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

TBL: 53.9%

UTA: 46.1%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.47

UTA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • TBL at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	TBL 2 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-11-02	UTA 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-03-27	TBL 8 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-03-22	UTA 6 - 4 TBL	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TBL	14	0	1.01
1	UTA	19	1	1.47
2	TBL	12	0	1.07
2	UTA	14	4	1.53
3	TBL	18	0	1.22
3	UTA	11	2	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1