Boston Bruins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-01-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Boston Bruins (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 48.7%

BOS: 51.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.31

BOS: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs BOS: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	BOS
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR
2025-02-01	BOS 6 - 3 NYR	BOS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYR	13	0.75
1	BOS	12	1.17
2	NYR	16	1.64
2	BOS	11	0.90
3	NYR	12	0.50
3	BOS	12	0.61
4	NYR	2	0.14
4	BOS	3	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0