New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-01-26 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 4 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 50.9%

NYI: 49.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.50

NYI: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	0	1.10
1	NYI	9	0	0.35
2	PHI	9	1	0.64
2	NYI	9	0	0.28
3	PHI	10	0	0.70
3	NYI	11	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.5 - 3.1