Los Angeles Kings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-03-09 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 51.8%

LAK: 48.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.51

LAK: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	CBJ	LAK
Season SV%	0.909	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	31	26	5	83.9%	3.33	5	-1.67
LAK	Anton Forsberg	32	28	4	87.5%	2.09	0	-1.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	CBJ 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	CBJ
2025-12-22	LAK 1 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	LAK
2025-01-25	CBJ 3 - 2 LAK	CBJ	LAK
2024-11-09	LAK 5 - 2 CBJ	LAK	LAK
2024-02-20	LAK 5 - 1 CBJ	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	21	0	1.17
1	LAK	10	1	0.62
2	CBJ	9	0	0.47
2	LAK	25	4	1.97
3	CBJ	12	0	0.44
3	LAK	11	0	0.60
4	CBJ	0	0	0.00
4	LAK	3	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1