Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-26 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 7 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 69.7%

ANA: 30.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.19

ANA: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 12-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.73 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Stat	EDM	ANA
Season SV%	0.906	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.73	3.25

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Tristan Jarry	41	37	4	90.2%	3.83	0	-0.17
ANA	Ville Husso	32	25	7	78.1%	5.13	5	-1.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • EDM at home vs ANA: 10-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-07	ANA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	1	1.85
1	ANA	19	0	1.60
2	EDM	20	1	1.77
2	ANA	19	0	0.94
3	EDM	5	3	1.51
3	ANA	22	0	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown