Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-27 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 40.5%

NSH: 59.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.79

NSH: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	BOS	NSH
Season SV%	0.903	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.84	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	30	28	2	93.3%	2.67	1	0.67
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	25	3	89.3%	2.32	1	-0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	NSH 6 - 3 BOS	NSH	NSH
2026-01-27	BOS 3 - 2 NSH	BOS	NSH
2025-03-04	BOS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH
2024-10-22	NSH 4 - 0 BOS	NSH	NSH
2024-04-02	NSH 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	10	0	0.54
1	NSH	13	1	0.99
2	BOS	18	0	1.17
2	NSH	23	0	1.02
3	BOS	9	0	0.32
3	NSH	17	0	0.66
4	BOS	1	1	0.28
4	NSH	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4